The Global Economic Growth Rate Prediction

 The United Nations released the "2026 World Economic Situation and Prospects" report in New York. The report points out that the global economy has shown some resilience in a complex environment, but trade tensions, fiscal pressures, and increased uncertainty are continuing to affect long-term growth prospects. The report predicts that the global economic growth rate in 2026 will be 2.7%, lower than the 2.8% in 2025.

 The United Nations noted that in 2025, with inflation declining and consumer spending remaining stable, the global economy withstood the impact of the significant tariff increases imposed by the United States. However, issues such as sluggish investment and limited fiscal space remain prominent, and the global economy faces the risk of long-term growth slowdown.

 The report also points out that although global trade remained resilient in 2025, the increase in tariffs and greater policy uncertainty are expected to slow down the growth of global trade in 2026. At the same time, global investment remains weak, with geopolitical risks and fiscal constraints limiting investment activities.

 In terms of inflation, global inflation levels continue to decline, but high prices are still eroding the real income of residents. The United Nations emphasizes that countries need to strengthen coordination between monetary, fiscal, and industrial policies to stabilize prices while ensuring social welfare and long-term growth.

 UN Secretary-General Guterres stated that the global economy is currently facing a critical period of multiple challenges, and strengthening multilateral cooperation and maintaining a rules-based multilateral trade system are crucial for stabilizing the global economy and promoting sustainable development.